A Perfect Storm For Small Caps

Be honest, did you really think that every analyst on the planet was gonna get this one wrong?

If you were drinking the Kool-Aid and bought into the options hype around NVDA earnings week, there’s a good chance you got smoked yesterday. (If you read this blog regularly, you should have known better.)

The good news is, there are even bigger catalysts looming on the calendar, and I’ve got 3 stocks on my list that could go absolutely ballistic.

SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic. (No…these aren’t my 3 runners.)

These are 3 of the biggest companies the world has ever seen, all of them announcing plans to IPO before the end of the year.

When that happens, an insane amount of money flows into the sector.  This often creates a rising tide that lifts everything in the sector.

But we’re not just talking about one goliath mover here. We’re talking about 3. All in the same fiscal year. That is a perfect storm for small caps and OTCs.

Sounds pretty juicy, right?

Well I hate to break it to you, but none of this is going to matter if you don’t have a plan and a strategy in place first.

Let me show you exactly what that looks like…

Back in early 2024, NVDA was pressing toward all-time highs. But I wasn’t really trading NVDA, I had my eyes on one name in particular: 

SoundHound AI (NSDQ: SOUN) is a voice-AI company that powers the ordering systems, customer service tools, and in-car assistants you interact with every day (without even knowing it). 

I knew that if NVDA’s momentum continued, SOUN would take off like a rocket ship.

Sure enough, my plan worked, and when it broke out, I made over $100,000 on the trade.*  

The move always starts at the top. It flows to small caps. And if you know what to watch, you are already in before the crowd figures out where the money went.

My Checklist For The Big IPOs

Whenever a massive sector catalyst like a SpaceX or OpenAI IPO drops, I’m not just watching IWM and calling it done. I’m running the whole checklist.

  • How blindly is the market buying the bull story?
  • Are the small-cap names in that orbit already building volume before the IPO?
  • Are those names holding key levels, or fading every morning?

If all these boxes get checked, I’ll have much stronger conviction in the small-caps attracting sympathy buying. 

IWM is the confirmation signal. But the setup starts before that.

When these mega-cap IPOs drop, I know exactly where I’m going to be standing.

3 Potential Runners

Sidus Space (NSDQ: SIDU) is a small-cap, space-focused company with solid earnings. 

I have alerts set at $4.20. 

If SIDU holds above that level on volume, I’m watching for a move toward $4.50 to $5.00. 

SoundHound AI (NSDQ: SOUN) My old friend SOUN has been grinding higher, holding support in the low $8s, and testing resistance at $9.50 to $10. Watching for a clean break above $10.

BigBear.ai (NYSE: BBAI) specializes in enterprise AI, defense contracts, and government intelligence. It’s been chopping between $3.70 and $4.40 for weeks. 

A tight range with pressure building. $4.50 is my breakout trigger. 

This thing could really move on the Anthropic IPO.

SpaceX is first up on the IPO calendar (their roadshow starts in just two weeks). 

From that moment through listing day, expect daily headlines, institutional pitches, and retail traders flooding in looking for a way to play it. 

And don’t forget, SpaceX is just the start…

The window to build a thesis before all that noise hits is closing fast…

If you want to be ready before the move is obvious, this is the playbook.

Stay sharp, 

Jack Kellogg

*Past performance does not indicate future results

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